Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000146 0.000161 0.000178 0.000197 0.000219 0.000242 0.000270
2025-08-17 0.000116 0.000138 0.000164 0.000197 0.000236 0.000283 0.000343
2025-08-24 0.000097 0.000122 0.000153 0.000193 0.000247 0.000314 0.000407
2025-08-31 0.000082 0.000108 0.000141 0.000187 0.000250 0.000335 0.000458
2025-09-07 0.000074 0.000100 0.000136 0.000187 0.000261 0.000365 0.000525
2025-09-14 0.000068 0.000095 0.000133 0.000191 0.000276 0.000402 0.000604
2025-09-21 0.000061 0.000088 0.000127 0.000187 0.000281 0.000423 0.000662
2025-09-28 0.000054 0.000080 0.000119 0.000180 0.000278 0.000433 0.000702
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.000077 0.000117 0.000182 0.000291 0.000467 0.000786
2025-10-12 0.000049 0.000075 0.000117 0.000187 0.000306 0.000508 0.000888
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000071 0.000112 0.000184 0.000310 0.000529 0.000954
2025-10-26 0.000043 0.000069 0.000111 0.000186 0.000322 0.000566 0.001055
2025-11-02 0.000040 0.000065 0.000107 0.000184 0.000327 0.000590 0.001138
2025-11-09 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000183 0.000334 0.000620 0.001239
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000058 0.000100 0.000180 0.000337 0.000643 0.001327
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000054 0.000095 0.000174 0.000333 0.000652 0.001388
2025-11-30 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000174 0.000342 0.000688 0.001512
2025-12-07 0.000029 0.000051 0.000093 0.000178 0.000357 0.000738 0.001677
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000049 0.000089 0.000174 0.000357 0.000758 0.001774
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000045 0.000084 0.000168 0.000351 0.000759 0.001826
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000170 0.000363 0.000807 0.002003
2026-01-04 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000174 0.000381 0.000868 0.002225
2026-01-11 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000172 0.000383 0.000892 0.002350